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Friday, April 14, 2006
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 Friday, April 14, 2006
started 4/14/2006; 1:56:49 PM - last post 4/18/2006; 1:07:07 AM
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Doc Searls - Friday, April 14, 2006 
4/14/2006; 5:56:49 PM (reads: 4289, responses: 8)
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Fear the corn 
Where on Earth?
| | It's been a long time since I've done a Where on Earth post. So I decided to put this one up. Anybody know? |
What threat?
| | There were at least 1,500 professional cable industry types in the audience, and they were asked to vote on the following: |
| | "What or who will be your biggest day-to-day competition in three years from today?" |
| | Now remember, the audience is full of cable people (many of who do not know how to send a text message with a short message code, but that's for another column). They chose from five possibilities, and here are the results: |
| | DirecTV--37 percent
Google--0 percent
Municipal Wi-Fi--10 percent
Something not yet invented--25 percent |
| | It's not surprising that almost 40 percent of the cable industry audience thinks that satellite companies will still be their biggest competitors in three years. It's a little surprising that they give the telcos as much credit as they did--since it is physically impossible for the telcos to deploy and market that much television product in that amount of time. But what blew my mind was the 35 percent of the audience who thought that municipal Wi-Fi or something not yet invented was going to be the source of the biggest day-to-day competition in three years time. And, to that end --the idea that Google would not enter into their competitive equation. |
| | I wonder if they asked what the biggest oppportunities were. |
| | How many cable customers would trade all their current television service for symmetrical high-speed fiber service to their homes? How much will that number change in the next five years? |
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Andrew Leyden - MP4 and FTA
4/14/2006; 6:25:02 PM (reads: 609, responses: 2)
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You need only read the Chinese newspapers to see the future...ok, well not read but look at the pictures.
IPTV boxes are already for sale in the Chinese ethnic community in the US offering live TV from China at a very competitive rate. Hong Kong has had IPTV for over a year now, and the biggest news is satellites is not Dish or Direct, but the upcoming shift from MPEG2 to MPEG4. With the compression of MP4, the price of sending a signal upto a satellite (or sending it over the net) will be brought down considerably, and we'll start to see more and more stations from around the world competing here in the US.
I have an FTA dish which is great for watching the latest from Iraq and a few other places, but also offers the Kremlin propaganda channel "Russia Today" in English which is actually quite interesting. Every minute I watch something like that is a minute I'm not watching CNN.
And when I can do this all on my computer? Forget about it...
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lou josephs - Re: Friday, April 14, 2006
4/14/2006; 6:52:27 PM (reads: 606, responses: 0)
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Considering I have FIOS service ready to go..all I have to do is get it installed, and just about all the local areas in MD/NOVA have the TV service...oops it's over for cable.
ATT however will be lagging as project light speed ain't such hot tech, as it goes to the street only not the the home. (member the last mile)
And Podcasting oops der podfater didn't explain it to the great unwashed. Checked the edison/media-arbitron report link on my blog wvbf.blogspot.com
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geoff lane - Re: Friday, April 14, 2006
4/14/2006; 9:12:23 PM (reads: 632, responses: 1)
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So Google is the elephant in the room that nobody talks about?
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geoff lane - Re: MP4 and FTA
4/14/2006; 9:19:18 PM (reads: 701, responses: 1)
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China is a huge internal market. So large that they can make their own standards and make money.
Plus they don't care about existing markets. Look at pocket calculators. All made in China, all with facilities that I paid $50 or more a few years ago, now at less than $10. If they do the same for a home computer there will be a box for about $120 and it is not necessarily "Vista Ready".
What does the existing market do when a non-WinTel PC appears at a price that is unbeatable?
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Mike Warot - Re: Friday, April 14, 2006
4/15/2006; 12:17:19 AM (reads: 668, responses: 0)
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It's mumps, what's the big deal?
--Mike--
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Doc Searls - Re: Friday, April 14, 2006
4/16/2006; 4:43:32 AM (reads: 694, responses: 0)
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Not sure I follow. Seems to be no shortage of talk about Google.
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Doc Searls - Re: MP4 and FTA
4/16/2006; 4:45:36 AM (reads: 771, responses: 0)
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>What does the existing market do when a non-WinTel PC appears at a price that is unbeatable?
They'll buy it, as long as it drives the devices they care about, and isn't too hard to use.
We're getting there. Gradually.
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jim richardson - Re: Friday, April 14, 2006
4/18/2006; 5:07:07 AM (reads: 1288, responses: 0)
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Sorry you didn't get any responses to your latest where on Earth post, but I can tell you it is a few miles east of Smithville TX, near Buesher state park, and incedently right next door to the best private mountain bike ranch in Texas, Rocky Hill Ranch. There was actually a pretty good posting of this on googlesightseeing a few months back...
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