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Wednesday, September 14, 2005

Author:   Doc Searls  
Posted: 9/14/2005; 11:11:38 AM
Topic: Wednesday, September 14, 2005
Msg #: 6005 (top msg in thread)
Prev/Next: 6003/6006
Reads: 6377

Are you watching, FEMA? 
 From Spaceweather.com:
 AURORA ALERT! A coronal mass ejection (CME) is racing toward Earth and it could spark a severe geomagnetic storm when it arrives--perhaps tonight (Sept. 14th and 15th). People everywhere should be alert for auroras...
 If this incoming CME does hit Earth's magnetic field as hard as forecasters expect, auroras could appear in places where they are seldom seen: California, Arizona, Texas and elsewhere.
 quebec aurora: As I said a few days ago (and earlier), auroras are 3D things: rippling curtains of light up to a thousand miles high. If one runs, say, from Billings to Chicago, it will be visible as far south as Texas. Or farther. The top two pictures on this page are 1) looking up into the curtain at about the Canadian border; and 2) looking north at the curtain from Colorado.
 Here's the latest gallery page, including the shot above by Phillippe Moussette (looking straight up the Aurora in Quebec) and others from as far south as Arizona.
 By the way, geomagnetic storms can cause blackouts like this one in 1989. Here's another story. Here's the worst on record.
 For what's happening now, watch here.
 Hey, does anybody know how to find a permalink to a given Spaceweather post? I know it's there. Just not...where.
 [Later...] A writer just suggested using a URL like this one... http://spaceweather.com/index.cgi?month=09&day=14&year=2005&view=view ... which is date specific. But alas, no permalink in the blogging sense. I just noticed "View archives" on the upper right.
 [Later...] The CME (Coronal Mass Ejection) hasn't hit yet. However, The latest USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity, isued at 2200GMT (11pm London, 6pm New York), reported here, says
 The geomagnetic field is expected to reach major to severe storm levels on 15 September following the anticipated arrival of the CME associated with the 13 September X1 flares. Minor storm to major storm periods are possible on 16 September decreasing to mostly unsettled by 17 September. The greater than 10 MeV proton event may increase temporarily with the shock arrival.
 In other words, don't assume the calm surf means the tsunami won't come.
 
Applied Gonzology 
 From 800-CEO-READ, there's Excerpts Blog, within which we find Branding Unbound by Rick Mathieson - Part III Q&A Christopher Locke: "Cluetrain Manifesto" for the Mobile Age. In which the proprietor of The EGR Weblog, Chief Blogging Officer and Mystic Bourgeoisie (the latter of which is also the name of his third book since Cluetrain) speaks in a remarkably calm and thoughtful voice about what's up with marketing in an increasingly live connected world.
 Naturally, the problems are what they've always been. For example, Marketers are largely wedded to ideas that are intrinsic to the broadcast paradigm. They¹ve never known anything else.
 And, The community that you volitionally participate in is always more true than a segment a marketer places you in.
 Opportunities are there too. Such as, At some point, people say, "Hey, I need help with this or that," and a conversation starts that can end in a big sale. Along the way, you'll probably earn the kind of brand equity you¹ve always wanted, in a way you never expected.
 Rinse, repeat.
 
Findings 
 Google has blogsearch.
 
Not used, fortunately 
 I just opened a box of Kleenex®. Wadded up at the top was... a long length of toilet paper.
 
So... it's the new pay phone? 
 Jeff Jarvis on the eBay-Skype thing: It¹s the Cluetrain, baby: If markets are conversations, then enabling the conversation enables the market and eBay is the new market.
 
Two roads 
 Four years ago, Hunter S. Thompson wrote,
 The towers are gone now, reduced to bloody rubble, along with all hopes for Peace in Our Time, in the United States or any other country. Make no mistake about it: We are At War now -- with somebody -- and we will stay At War with that mysterious Enemy for the rest of our lives.
 It will be a Religious War, a sort of Christian Jihad, fueled by religious hatred and led by merciless fanatics on both sides. It will be guerilla warfare on a global scale, with no front lines and no identifiable enemy...
 We are going to punish somebody for this attack, but just who or what will be blown to smithereens for it is hard to say. Maybe Afghanistan, maybe Pakistan or Iraq, or possibly all three at once. Who knows? Not even the Generals in what remains of the Pentagon or the New York papers calling for WAR seem to know who did it or where to look for them.
 This is going to be a very expensive war, and Victory is not guaranteed -- for anyone, and certainly not for anyone as baffled as George W. Bush. All he knows is that his father started the war a long time ago, and that he, the goofy child-President, has been chosen by Fate and the global Oil industry to finish it Now. He will declare a National Security Emergency and clamp down Hard on Everybody, no matter where they live or why. If the guilty won't hold up their hands and confess, he and the Generals will ferret them out by force.
 Good luck. He is in for a profoundly difficult job -- armed as he is with no credible Military Intelligence, no witnesses and only the ghost of Bin Laden to blame for the tragedy.
 Explaining the road least taken, I added,
 I believe there is nothing odd about Pacifism. Peace is where we came from before we were born, and where we wish to go to after we die. It's what we want every day when we sleep or merely seek a little time alone. It's the sacred state we know, standing proxy for the sacred states we don't.
 Peace is love. Pacifism does nothing more than advocate love. Jesus says "Love your enemies." (Matthew 5:44.) It's hard to follow, but it's a path to peace. The retributive mathematics of war lead only to more war.
 
A toast 
 Two quotes from Andrew Rasiej's Victory for Ideas speech last night:
 We changed the whole notion of what the Public Advocate¹s office could be... It doesn't matter what the percentages are, we created a real debate about what the Public Advocate's office could be and we raised a lot of important ideas... In case you didn't hear, today the New York Parks Department announced that they will be giving free Wi-Fi in most of the city¹s parks today.
 And,
 I don't believe that one politician can solve the problems of 8 million people, but I can certainly buy everyone here a drink...




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